Los Angeles FCvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 61.5% | 49.2% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 20.6% | 26.2% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 18.0% | 24.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40