Los Angeles FCvs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/15/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles FC 3-1 Austin
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 65.5% | 51.6% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 20.0% | 25.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 6.50 | 14.5% | 22.7% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80