GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil

Original prediction

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0544.1%40.5%-3.6 pts
Draw3.2028.2%30.9%2.7 pts
Away3.2627.7%28.6%0.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.6 pts

Projected Score

Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–0 Nyva Ternopil

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv KyivWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva TernopilWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivNyva Ternopil
45.5Attack36.7
63.6Defence70.0
51.5Form43.3
55.6Power51.8
0.89xG0.72
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