Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsavs
Marek
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-0 Marek, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-0 Marek
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.8% | 37.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.4% | 33.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.8% | 29.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.96 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0–0 Marek
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaWDDWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MarekLWLWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaMarek
30.0Attack36.7
66.7Defence60.0
50.0Form43.3
51.3Power48.0
0.78xG0.66