Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reggiana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Livorno 3-1 Reggiana
Original prediction
Reggiana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Reggiana
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
13.8%
Reggiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivornoDWDWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ReggianaWLDLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LivornoReggiana
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power52.0
1.24xG1.37