Livingstonvs
Stenhousemuir
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Livingston 0-1 Stenhousemuir
Original prediction
Livingston
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 65.2% | 38.5% | -26.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.5% | 27.6% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 6.82 | 13.3% | 33.9% | 20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40