Livingstonvs
Partick
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Livingston 0-0 Partick, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Livingston 1-2 Partick
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.8% | 37.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.4% | 31.2% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Livingston 0–0 Partick
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivingstonLWDWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PartickWDLWD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
LivingstonPartick
48.1Attack33.3
66.7Defence91.7
48.1Form62.5
54.5Power63.9
0.86xG0.69