Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiverpoolWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArsenalLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LiverpoolArsenal
46.7Attack53.3
73.3Defence73.3
60.0Form80.0
62.4Power69.6
1.16xG1.12