Liverpool Montevideovs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 Racing Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 Racing Montevideo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 34.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.5% | 32.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.6% | 32.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 Racing Montevideo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20