Liverpool Montevideovs
Cerro
SCHEDULEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cerro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
22.2%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80