Liverpool Montevideovs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Boston River, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Boston River
Original prediction
Liverpool Montevideo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.2% | 56.5% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 27.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.6% | 16.5% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00