Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Linfield 2-0 Bangor, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Linfield 2-0 Bangor
Original prediction
Linfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.2% | 64.3% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.5% | 20.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 9.75 | 9.3% | 14.8% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Linfield 2–0 Bangor
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LinfieldWWDWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BangorLLWLD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LinfieldBangor
44.4Attack29.6
77.8Defence29.6
81.5Form18.5
70.3Power28.9
2.23xG0.45