Larnevs
Limavady United
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larne · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Larne 2-0 Limavady United, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 74.5% | 64.5% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.64 | 16.2% | 20.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 9.79 | 9.3% | 15.0% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Larne 2–0 Limavady United
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Larne
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LarneWLLWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Limavady UnitedDWLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LarneLimavady United
66.7Attack33.3
70.0Defence50.0
73.3Form36.1
70.8Power42.5
2.34xG0.51