GGOALVIO

England · Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lincoln are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portsmouth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Championship, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lincoln

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

13.3%

Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LincolnWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PortsmouthLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LincolnPortsmouth
50.0Attack42.0
50.0Defence48.6
50.0Form39.1
50.0Power44.6
1.57xG1.05
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