Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folgore · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertas 0-2 Folgore
Original prediction
Folgore
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Folgore
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Folgore has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LibertasWDDLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FolgoreWWLWW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LibertasFolgore
66.7Attack41.7
25.0Defence75.0
33.3Form58.3
39.6Power60.3
1.20xG1.44