Leones Negros UDGvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Leones Negros UDG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.