Lentigionevs
Piacenza
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lentigione · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lentigione 1-3 Piacenza
Original prediction
Lentigione
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.4% | 36.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.4% | 29.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.2% | 34.2% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Lentigione
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Lentigione has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00