Leningradetsvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leningradets 0-2 Torpedo Moskva, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leningradets 1-3 Torpedo Moskva
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.40 | 17.4% | 16.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.9% | 23.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 57.8% | 60.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Leningradets 0–2 Torpedo Moskva
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20