Leningradetsvs
Ska-khabarovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leningradets · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leningradets 1-0 Ska-khabarovsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leningradets 3-2 Ska-khabarovsk
Original prediction
Leningradets
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.2% | 48.5% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 28.5% | 22.8% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Projected Score
Leningradets 1–0 Ska-khabarovsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Leningradets
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Leningradets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40