GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leningradets · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Leningradets 0-1 KAMAZ

Original prediction

Leningradets

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6734.6%43.5%8.9 pts
Draw3.1029.8%28.3%-1.5 pts
Away2.5935.6%28.2%-7.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–014%

Predicted outcome

Leningradets

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Leningradets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeningradetsDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KAMAZLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LeningradetsKAMAZ
19.0Attack33.3
57.1Defence33.3
28.6Form8.3
37.9Power28.6
1.26xG0.81
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