GGOALVIO

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leioa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Leioa 4-0 Aurrerá Vitoria

Original prediction

Leioa

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Leioa

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Leioa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeioaLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Aurrerá VitoriaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
LeioaAurrerá Vitoria
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.19xG1.87
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