Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Derio
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Derio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pasaia KELLWWW
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DerioLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pasaia KEDerio
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.90xG2.10