Leevon / PPKvs
Super Nova 2
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leevon / PPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leevon / PPK 2-1 Super Nova 2
Original prediction
Leevon / PPK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.7% | 63.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.0% | 19.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.3% | 16.9% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Leevon / PPK
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Leevon / PPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40