Leedsvs
Crystal Palace
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leeds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace
Original prediction
Leeds
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 55.6% | 57.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 24.2% | 22.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 20.1% | 20.1% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Leeds
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Leeds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeedsWLDDW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Crystal PalaceWLWWL
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
LeedsCrystal Palace
58.3Attack50.0
75.0Defence8.3
66.7Form25.0
67.6Power31.6
2.38xG1.00