Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecce · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lecce
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Lecce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LecceLWLLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GenoaLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LecceGenoa
33.3Attack20.0
33.3Defence33.3
40.0Form6.7
38.1Power24.0
1.54xG1.07