Leamingtonvs
Redditch United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leamington · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leamington 2-2 Redditch United
Original prediction
Leamington
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.6% | 40.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 25.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.0% | 34.5% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Leamington
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Leamington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20