Needham Marketvs
Leighton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Needham Market · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Needham Market 1-1 Leighton Town
Original prediction
Needham Market
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.3% | 68.0% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.4% | 16.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.19 | 17.3% | 15.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Needham Market
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Needham Market has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20