Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Lazio W
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Lazio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lazio WLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Napoli WLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lazio WNapoli W
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence16.7
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power21.5
1.66xG1.21