Lazio U20vs
Sudtirol U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Primavera · 10/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lazio U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lazio U20 2-0 Sudtirol U19
Original prediction
Lazio U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.7% | 42.9% | -35.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.10 | 14.9% | 23.8% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 14.30 | 6.4% | 33.3% | 26.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lazio U20
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Lazio U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40