GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyzyltash · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kyzyltash 2-0 Rubin Yalta

Original prediction

Kyzyltash

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.2%39.6%0.4 pts
Draw3.4925.9%25.0%-0.8 pts
Away2.5835.0%35.4%0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Kyzyltash

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Kyzyltash has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KyzyltashLWDLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rubin YaltaWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KyzyltashRubin Yalta
59.1Attack47.6
53.0Defence65.1
51.5Form54.0
54.7Power57.0
1.32xG1.23
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