Kyzyltashvs
Nart Cherkessk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyltash · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyzyltash 3-2 Nart Cherkessk
Original prediction
Kyzyltash
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.1% | 37.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 35.7% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Kyzyltash
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Kyzyltash has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60