GGOALVIO

Netherlands · KNVB Beker · 10/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Koninklijke HFC 0-5 GO Ahead Eagles

Original prediction

GO Ahead Eagles

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home10.718.6%38.5%29.9 pts
Draw6.3514.5%22.4%8.0 pts
Away1.2076.9%39.1%-37.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-37.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–18%

Predicted outcome

GO Ahead Eagles

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Koninklijke HFCLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GO Ahead EaglesWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Koninklijke HFCGO Ahead Eagles
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
93.8Power50.0
2.60xG1.39
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