Koninklijke HFCvs
Dovo
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koninklijke HFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Koninklijke HFC 3-1 Dovo
Original prediction
Koninklijke HFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.8% | 43.8% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 25.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.4% | 30.9% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Koninklijke HFC
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Koninklijke HFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40