Kolos Kovalivka IIvs
SK Poltava
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Poltava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolos Kovalivka II 0-1 SK Poltava
Original prediction
SK Poltava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.0% | 32.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 44.9% | 39.9% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
SK Poltava
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
SK Poltava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00