GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 10/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Kolos Kovalivka II 0-0 Oleksandria, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Kolos Kovalivka II 0-2 Oleksandria

Original prediction

Oleksandria

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 11:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.2521.3%31.7%10.4 pts
Draw3.6824.6%29.8%5.2 pts
Away1.6854.0%38.5%-15.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.6 pts

Projected Score

Kolos Kovalivka II 0–0 Oleksandria

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolos Kovalivka IIWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
OleksandriaDLWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Kolos Kovalivka IIOleksandria
44.4Attack38.9
88.9Defence88.9
55.6Form61.1
62.7Power63.7
0.93xG0.88
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