Kolos Kovalivka IIvs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolos Kovalivka II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolos Kovalivka II 1-0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Original prediction
Kolos Kovalivka II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.9% | 37.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 29.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 32.5% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Kolos Kovalivka II
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Kolos Kovalivka II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40