Kolkheti Potivs
Samtredia
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolkheti Poti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolkheti Poti 1-0 Samtredia
Original prediction
Kolkheti Poti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 38.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 24.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.3% | 37.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kolkheti Poti
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Kolkheti Poti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20