Kolkheti Potivs
Aragvi Dusheti
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 8/30/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolkheti Poti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kolkheti Poti 0-0 Aragvi Dusheti, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolkheti Poti 1-1 Aragvi Dusheti
Original prediction
Kolkheti Poti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 30.8% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Kolkheti Poti 0–0 Aragvi Dusheti
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Kolkheti Poti
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Kolkheti Poti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00