Kidderminster Harriersvs
Worthing
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Worthing
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.8% | 41.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.0% | 25.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.2% | 33.5% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40