Kettering Townvs
Leiston
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kettering Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kettering Town 4-0 Leiston
Original prediction
Kettering Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.8% | 65.5% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 18.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.1% | 15.8% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Kettering Town
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Kettering Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00