Kelty Heartsvs
Hearts U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kelty Hearts 3-5 Hearts U21
Original prediction
Kelty Hearts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.5% | 50.6% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.5% | 21.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.1% | 27.7% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40