Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.0% | 31.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 26.8% | 25.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.2% | 42.5% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KazmaWWLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AjmanLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KazmaAjman
0.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power72.0
1.82xG2.21