Kastrioti Krujëvs
Oriku
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kastrioti Krujë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kastrioti Krujë 2-0 Oriku
Original prediction
Kastrioti Krujë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.0% | 45.4% | -21.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.0% | 26.6% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 6.99 | 13.0% | 28.0% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kastrioti Krujë
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Kastrioti Krujë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80