GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KAMAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: KAMAZ 0-0 FK Neftekhimik, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

KAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik

Original prediction

KAMAZ

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0245.6%46.0%0.4 pts
Draw3.1928.9%28.7%-0.2 pts
Away3.6225.5%25.3%-0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Projected Score

KAMAZ 0–0 FK Neftekhimik

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

KAMAZ

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

KAMAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KAMAZDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FK NeftekhimikLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KAMAZFK Neftekhimik
35.9Attack23.1
43.6Defence51.3
25.6Form30.8
38.1Power37.7
1.12xG0.76
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