Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KAMAZ are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Sochi hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (26.3 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the First League, favouring FC Sochi with 12.4% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
12.4%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40