KAMAZvs
Chelyabinsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KAMAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KAMAZ 1-1 Chelyabinsk
Original prediction
KAMAZ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.9% | 36.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.7% | 27.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.4% | 35.6% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
KAMAZ
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
KAMAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KAMAZLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ChelyabinskWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KAMAZChelyabinsk
30.0Attack33.3
40.0Defence40.7
16.7Form25.9
32.3Power35.1
1.10xG1.15