GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventus W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Juventus W 1-2 SL Benfica W

Original prediction

Juventus W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.1%44.4%-11.8 pts
Draw3.9023.1%22.8%-0.3 pts
Away4.3520.7%32.8%12.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.1–16%

Predicted outcome

Juventus W

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Juventus W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventus WDWWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SL Benfica WWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Juventus WSL Benfica W
75.0Attack94.4
75.0Defence47.2
83.3Form58.3
78.6Power61.7
2.34xG2.19
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