GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Women · 9/26/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventus W · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Projected score: Juventus W 3-0 Napoli W, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Juventus W 3-1 Napoli W

Original prediction

Juventus W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3566.9%84.6%17.7 pts
Draw4.4920.1%10.4%-9.7 pts
Away6.9813.0%4.9%-8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

17.7 pts

Projected Score

Juventus W 3–0 Napoli W

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Juventus W

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Juventus W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventus WLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Napoli WWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Juventus WNapoli W
83.3Attack26.2
65.4Defence41.7
75.6Form20.2
73.4Power32.0
3.45xG0.46
View match centre →