Juventudvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud 0-0 Racing Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud 2-0 Racing Montevideo
Original prediction
Racing Montevideo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.4% | 28.2% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.8% | 31.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.8% | 39.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Juventud 0–0 Racing Montevideo
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60