Juventudvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud 3-0 Racing Montevideo
Original prediction
Juventud
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.6% | 40.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 28.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.4% | 31.2% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Juventud
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60